Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Wausau Area
3rd Quarter 1989
 
Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table 14

     Almost every local indicator of economic performance says that the Wausau area economy has expanded and it will most likely continue to do so. Thus, economic matters at the area level look strong. However, the national economy continues to show signs of slowing. This slowing will undoubtedly reach Central Wisconsin if it persists for a long enough period of time. At this juncture no one knows the degree to which the national economy is softening.

     Locally, the farm economy should be stronger than last year due to the return of badly needed precipitation. This fact alone should help bolster matters. A major problem facing the Wausau area is the impact of the financial difficulties facing the Rib Mountain Ski Resort on tourism revenues. The possible closing of the facility would undoubtedly cause an undetermined and unmeasured ripple effect throughout the immediate area.

     Marathon County nonfarm employment continues to grow. The third quarter results show an overall increase of 2400 jobs or a 4.9 percent increase. All major sectors, except for government, posted respectable gains. Trade, construction, and services were particularly robust adding 800,700, and 600 respectively. (See Table 7.) The services and construction sectors posted record all-time highs regardless of the time of year, whereas manufacturing and trade posted record highs for the third quarter of the year. As of September 1989 there are nearly 51,000 people employed in nonfarm activities.

     The retailer confidence survey for Wausau presents the views of area merchants. (Table 8) This group believes that store sales and traffic were measurably higher than one year ago. This suggests that the important retail sector experienced somewhat more activity than in third quarter 1988. When asked to estimate future store traffic and sales the responses indicated that the present expansion would continue. This, of course, is a positive indicator for the area economy.

     For the second consecutive quarter help wanted advertising declined from the previous year's level. This paralleled events at the national level. Though local advertising decreased, the index is still at a relatively high level when compared to the historic record. The 199 reading for third quarter suggests that help wanted advertising has nearly doubled since 1980. Although the rate of job generation may slow in the months ahead, it should be remain positive.

     More evidence that the area economy has strengthened over the past twelve months comes from Tables 10 and 11. Total caseload and new claims for public assistance fell by 2.9 and 14.3 percent respectively. Moreover, initial and total unemployment claims decreased by 23.0 and 12.2 percent. When an economy is in an expansive mode and jobs are being created it is expected that measures of family financial distress will decline, all other things being held constant. However, this does not mean that an expansive economy can reach everyone. In such cases other remedies may be needed to address the situation.

     An indicator of future economic prospects is residential construction. (See Table 12.) An explosion of activity occurred during third quarter. The performance of this sector was one of the strongest ever recorded, only second quarter 1988 had comparable results. Every category was much above last year's totals or those of any other third quarter. The largest percent increase came in the number of housing units constructed, up by nearly 90 percent. Pent up housing demand after several years of economic growth is undoubtedly playing a major role in this quarter's developments. It should be noted that Rib Mountain is not included in the numbers due to the difficulty of receiving the statistics on a consistent and timely basis from the municipality.

     Nonresidential construction is given in Table 13. This type of activity is very volatile due to the magnitude and singular nature of the projects. Therefore no percentage changes are given in Table 13. However, it can be noted that activity was above last year's level and historically the third quarter results are on the high end of the construction activity distribution.

     Financial statistical data provide one more method of gauging local economic activity. Bank lending is directly related to business activity in the area. Since last year loans in our sample have increased by nearly $50 million or 11.2 percent. This represents a very substantial increase for the community. Moreover, bank deposits swelled by nearly $38 million or 6.3 percent. These data give us insight into what is taking place locally.

 
TABLE 7:
MARATHON COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
September 1988
(Thousands)
Employment
September 1989
(Thousands)
Percent Change
Manufacturing
13.9

14.2

+2.2
Services

14.9

15.5

+4.0

Trade
11.8

12.6

+6.8
Construction
1.7

2.4

+41.2

Government

6.2

6.2

0.0
 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN WAUSAU
                     
Index Value
June 1989
September 1989
Total Sales Compared
     to Previous Year
69
69
Store Traffic Compared
     to Previous Year
67
68
Expected Sales Three
     Months From Now
68
69
Expected Store Traffic
     Three Months From Now
66
68
100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN WAUSAU
 
Index Value
1988
1989
Wausau
(September)
(1980 = 100)
203

199

U.S.
(August)
(1967 = 100)
160

148

 
TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN MARATHON COUNTY
 
1988
Third Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
1989
Third Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
Percent
Change
New Applications
21

18

-14.3
Total Caseload

102

99

-2.9

*As of First Quarter 1986 Public Assistance Claims in Marshfield
are being compiled on a county-wide basis.
 
TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN WAUSAU *
 
1988
Third Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
1989
Third Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
Percent
Change
New Claims
165

127

-23.0
Total Claims
972

853

-12.2
* Includes Medford Area.
 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN WAUSAU AREA
 
1988
Third Quarter
1989
Third Quarter
Percent
Change
Residential Permits Issued
33

60

+81.8
Estimated Value of New Homes
$2,857.5
(thousands)

$4,508.5
(thousands)

+57.8
Number of Housing Units
39

74

+89.7
Residential Alteration Permits Issued
205

284

+38.5
Estimated Value of Alterations
$612.3
(thousands)

$933.0
(thousands)

+52.4

 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN WAUSAU AREA
 
1988
Third Quarter
1989
Third Quarter
Number of Permits Issued

16

17

Estimated Value of
New Structures
$2,258.0
(thousands)

$3,093.3
(thousands)

Number of Business Alteration Permits 
26

27

Estimated Value
of Business Alterations
$254.7
(thousands)

$1,828.3
(thousands)

*Does not include Kronenwetter or the Town of Rib Mountain.
 Data Collected by University of Wisconsin-Marathon Center
 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR MARATHON COUNTY
 
1988
Third Quarter
(Millions)
1989
Third Quarter
(Millions)
Percent
Change
Bank Deposits
$592.7

$630.0

+6.3
Bank Loans

$441.7

$491.0

+11.2

*Data Collected by University of Wisconsin-Marathon Center
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
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