Almost every local indicator of economic performance says that the
Wausau
area economy has expanded and it will most likely continue to do so. Thus,
economic matters at the area level look strong. However, the national
economy continues to show signs of slowing. This slowing will undoubtedly
reach Central Wisconsin if it persists for a long enough period
of time. At this juncture no one knows the degree to which the national
economy is softening.
Locally, the farm economy should be stronger than last year due to the
return of badly needed precipitation. This fact alone should help bolster
matters. A major problem facing the
Wausau
area is the impact of the financial difficulties facing the Rib Mountain Ski
Resort on tourism revenues. The possible closing of the facility would
undoubtedly cause an undetermined and unmeasured ripple effect throughout
the immediate area.
Marathon
County
nonfarm employment continues to grow. The third quarter results show an
overall increase of 2400 jobs or a 4.9 percent increase. All major sectors,
except for government, posted respectable gains. Trade, construction, and
services were particularly robust adding 800,700, and 600 respectively. (See
Table 7.) The services and construction sectors posted record all-time highs
regardless of the time of year, whereas manufacturing and trade posted
record highs for the third quarter of the year. As of September 1989 there
are nearly 51,000 people employed in nonfarm activities.
The retailer confidence survey for
Wausau
presents the views of area merchants. (Table 8) This group believes that
store sales and traffic were measurably higher than one year ago. This
suggests that the important retail sector experienced somewhat more activity
than in third quarter 1988. When asked to estimate future store traffic and
sales the responses indicated that the present expansion would continue.
This, of course, is a positive indicator for the area economy.
For the second consecutive quarter help wanted advertising declined from the
previous year's level. This paralleled events at the national level. Though
local advertising decreased, the index is still at a relatively high level
when compared to the historic record. The 199 reading for third quarter
suggests that help wanted advertising has nearly doubled since 1980.
Although the rate of job generation may slow in the months ahead, it should
be remain positive.
More evidence that the area economy has strengthened over the past twelve
months comes from Tables 10 and 11. Total caseload and new claims for public
assistance fell by 2.9 and 14.3 percent respectively. Moreover, initial and
total unemployment claims decreased by 23.0 and 12.2 percent. When an
economy is in an expansive mode and jobs are being created it is expected
that measures of family financial distress will decline, all other things
being held constant. However, this does not mean that an expansive economy
can reach everyone. In such cases other remedies may be needed to address
the situation.
An indicator of future economic prospects is residential construction. (See
Table 12.) An explosion of activity occurred during third quarter. The
performance of this sector was one of the strongest ever recorded, only
second quarter 1988 had comparable results. Every category was much above
last year's totals or those of any other third quarter. The largest percent
increase came in the number of housing units constructed, up by nearly 90
percent. Pent up housing demand after several years of economic growth is
undoubtedly playing a major role in this quarter's developments. It should
be noted that Rib
Mountain is not included
in the numbers due to the difficulty of receiving the statistics on a
consistent and timely basis from the municipality.