Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Central Wisconsin
3rd Quarter 2006

 

Table 2 Table 3 Table 4 Table 5 Table 6

 

     An executive summary of the results for central Wisconsin follows.  The unemployment rate in central Wisconsin was unchanged from the 3.7 percent rate from a year ago.  Total employment in the region grew by 1.9 percent.  In addition, central Wisconsin nonfarm employment change shows jobs grew by 1.1 percent.   County sales tax distributions were generally lower than a year ago, with the lone exception being Portage County.  Lastly, regional business leaders are generally less optimistic about the economic conditions than they were in second quarter.             

     Table 2 gives the seasonally unadjusted unemployment rates for third quarter 2006.  Marathon County’s unemployment rate rose from last year’s marks.  However, the rate is still at a very low level and is hovering around 3.6 percent.  Portage and Wood Counties’ rates actually fell from 3.6 percent to 3.5 percent and 4.3 percent to 4.2 percent respectively over the same period.  Overall, the labor force weighted unemployment rate for central Wisconsin remained unchanged at a very low 3.7 percent.  Unemployment in Wisconsin climbed by 0.1 percent to 4.1 percent.  The U.S. rate fell from 4.8 percent to 4.4 percent over the past twelve months.   

     The state survey of households indicates that total employment in Portage County is estimated to have expanded by 3.0 percent, or by 1,200 jobs since September 2005 (Table 3).  Marathon and Wood counties’ employment numbers are estimated to have increased by 500 and 1,200 positions respectively.  Thus, total central Wisconsin employment increased by approximately 3,000 positions.  Please note, due to rounding, the figures in the tables may not sum to the presented totals.  The state added approximately 42.2 thousand new jobs and the nation generated 2.4 million jobs over the twelve month period.   

     The state survey of business firms generates the nonfarm employment figures in
Table 4.  Total nonfarm employment in the three county area expanded by approximately 1,600 positions, which represents a 1.1 percent growth rate.  Manufacturing payrolls, however, continue to shrink, falling from 30.4 thousand to 30.0 thousand or by 1.3 percent.  Total government employment in the three county area is said to have increased by 5.2 percent.  A closer inspection of other data shows that the entire increase of 1,000 government positions in central Wisconsin took place in Wood County.  This seems to be an incorrect estimate and later the state may have to make a substantial revision.   

     County sales tax collections in Table 5 show that Portage County collections rose from $1,234.9 thousand to $1,272.9 thousand, a gain of 3.1 percent.  Marathon County declined from $3,086.7 to $2,644.8 thousand in our year over comparison of third quarter activity.  To speculate on a matter is hazardous.  With that in mind, it may very well be the large amount of road construction in and around the Wausau area that is playing a role in the outcome.  Wood County activity dropped from $1,247.6 to $1,169.7 thousand for a 6.2 percent decline during the same period.  Given what happened in Wood County, some of the decline in Wausau retail activity may be attributed to a slow down of the economy.

     Each quarter the CWERB surveys a group of business executives to determine their point of view on economic matters (Table 6).  When asked to evaluate recent changes at the national level they said the economy has taken a turn for the worse.  They also indicated that local economic conditions were unchanged from a year ago.  When asked to forecast the future direction of the economy they felt that the national, local, and their industry conditions would remain unchanged in the next quarter.       

 
TABLE 2:
UNEMPLOYMENT IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
 

Unemployment Rate
September 2005

Unemployment Rate
September 2006
Percent
Change
Portage 3.6% 3.5% -0.8
City of Stevens Point 4.6% 4.3% -6.5
Marathon 3.5% 3.6% +3.8
Wood 4.3% 4.2% -3.6
Central Wisconsin 3.7% 3.7% 0
Wisconsin 4.0% 4.1% +1.1
United States 4.8% 4.4% -9.8
TABLE 3:
EMPLOYMENT IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
  Total Employment
September 2005
(Thousands)
Total Employment
September 2006
(Thousands)
Percent
Change
Portage 38.6 39.8 +3.0
City of Stevens Point 13.4 13.8 +3.0
Marathon 71.6 72.1 +0.6
Wood 37.9 39.1 +3.1
Central Wisconsin 148.2 150.9 +1.9
Wisconsin 2,920.0 2,962.2 +1.4
United States 142,579 145,010 +1.7
TABLE 4:
CENTRAL WISCONSIN EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR

  Employment
September 2005 (Thousands)
Employment
September 2006 (Thousands)
Percent Change
Total Nonfarm 150.0 151.6 +1.1
Total Private 130.8 131.4 +0.5
Construction & Natural Resources 6.0 5.9 -1.7
Manufacturing 30.4 30.0 -1.3
Trade 25.4 25.0 -1.6
Transportation & Utilities 8.0 8.1 +1.3
Financial Activities 10.4 10.5 +1.0
Education & Health Services 21.2 21.7 +2.4
Leisure & Hospitality 11.8 12.2 +3.4
Information & Business Services 17.3 17.8 +2.9
Total Government 19.2 20.2 +5.2
TABLE 5:
COUNTY SALES TAX DISTRIBUTION
  2005 Sales Tax
Third Quarter
(Thousands)
2006 Sales Tax
Third Quarter
(Thousands)
Percent
Change
Portage County $1,234.9 $1,272.9 +3.1
Marathon County $3,086.7 $2,644.8 -14.3
Wood County $1,247.6 $1,169.7 -6.2
TABLE 6:
BUSINESS CONFIDENCE IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
 
Index Value
June 2006 September 2006
Recent Change in
National Economic Conditions
51 45
Recent Change in
Local Economic Conditions
57 51
Expected Change in
National Economic Conditions
47 48
Expected Change in
Local Economic Conditions
51 51
Expected Change in
Industry Conditions
58 50
 

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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
Stevens Point, Wisconsin 54481