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Division
of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens
Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774 (715)
346-2537 |
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Randy
F. Cray, Ph.D.
Director,
Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
Marshfield
Area
3rd Quarter 2001
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Table
7 Table 8 Table
9 Table 10 Table
11 Table
12 Table 13 Table 14
Table15
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The
national and state economies are showing some signs of weakness. Locally, industrial sector employment has experienced a
decline and retailers are quite pessimistic about the future. In addition, help wanted advertising is well off the pace of
a year ago. Data showing some
signs of improvement, however, in the Marshfield-Wood County area relate to
employment. The unemployment rate
declined from a year ago, and estimated total employment is ahead of last
year's mark. Although the local
economy has some negative signals, overall the economy appears to be
weathering the situation.
Wood
County industrial sector employment struggled to meet last year's figures.
Manufacturing employment is estimated to be 1.0 percent lower than a year ago.
Over the same time period construction and government payrolls were estimated
to be unchanged. Better news was registered in the categories of services and
trade. Services and trade employment are thought to be 2.8 and 1.0 percent
higher than a year ago. The Marshfield Employment Index rose from 168.5 to
171.6. Thus, employment in the services dominated Marshfield economy is
believed to have grown by approximately 1.8 percent from a year ago (Table
7).
The CWERB survey of local merchants shows that there has been a marked
increase in the amount of pessimism expressed about the local retail scene (Table
8).
This group holds the opinion that total store sales are well below last
year's mark. Also a very dramatic decline is thought to have taken place in
the amount of store traffic coming through their establishments. When this
group was asked to forecast future retail activity they indicated that store
sales and traffic would be markedly lower than a year ago at the same time.
This is particularly disturbing because this represents the all-important
Christmas sales period.
Help wanted advertising fell dramatically in the Marshfield area (Table
9). This
barometer of business hiring intentions slid from 352 to 168 over the course
of the past twelve months. This represents a record drop of 52 percent.
Likewise, the national help wanted advertising index took a sharp plunge, from
78 to 53, or a decline of about 32 percent. This data clearly suggests that
there has been a substantial shift in business firm hiring plans.
Public assistance claims for Wood County are presented on a monthly average
basis in Table 10. Layoffs at
area employers have had a dramatic impact on the number of public assistance
claims. The total caseload has
gone up from 2,324 to 2,889 or by 24.3 percent.
This is a significant increase, which signals that the level of
financial family distress has risen in Wood County.
Unemployment claims are given in Table 11. New claims on a weekly
average basis rose from 191 to 208, a gain of 8.9 percent over last year. A
much sharper increase was registered for the total claims. Total claims
rocketed upwards from 891 to 1,167, a gain of 31 percent. With the soft
economy and the announced closing of a Wood County cheese factory,
unemployment claims are likely to increase in the area.
Some good news comes from the residential construction scene. Every category
of activity is higher than a year ago (Table
12). The number of permits issued rose by 33
and the estimated value of this new construction climbed by nearly 60 percent.
There was also a surge in the number of housing units constructed. This
activity increased from 14 to 31 in a year over comparison. Likewise,
residential alteration permits grew from 61 to 76 and the associated value of
the alteration activity increased by about 17.0 percent.
Nonresidential construction varies greatly from year to year; hence, no
percentages are given in Table 13. The number of permits issued was 40 in
Third Quarter 2001 and they were estimated to be worth $9.2 million. Business
alteration permits in the Marshfield area stayed at around 14 with an
estimated value of $1.04 million.
The Clark County area economy has held up surprisingly well in light of
national economic slowdown. The manufacturing, services, and construction
sector all added people to their respective payrolls (Table
14). Only trade and
construction posted lower numbers than the year before. Moreover, the total
number employed in the County rose from 15,497 to 15,869 a gain of about 2.4
percent. The unemployment rate, however, went up because the labor force grew
more quickly than the number of jobs (Table 15).
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TABLE
7:
WOOD
COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
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Employment
September
2000
(Thousands)
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Employment
September
2001
(Thousands)
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Percent
Change
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| Manufacturing |
10.2
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10.1
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-1.0
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| Services |
18.1
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18.6
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+2.8
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| Trade |
9.6
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9.7
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+1.0
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| Construction |
2.0
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2.0
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0
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| Government |
5.4
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5.4
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0
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| Marshfield
Employment Index |
168.5
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171.6
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+1.8
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TABLE
8:
RETAILER
CONFIDENCE IN MARSHFIELD*
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Index
Value
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June 2001
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September
2001
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Total
Sales Compared
to Previous Year |
45
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42
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Store
Traffic Compared
to Previous Year |
45
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33
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Expected
Sales Three
Months From Now |
57
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44
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Expected
Store Traffic
Three Months From Now |
57
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41
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100
= Substantially Better
50
= Same
0
= Substantially Worse
*Data
collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County |
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TABLE
9:
HELP
WANTED ADVERTISING IN MARSHFIELD
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Index
Value
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2000
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2001
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Marshfield
(September)
(1980
= 100) |
352
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168
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U.S.
(August)
(1987
= 100) |
78
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53
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TABLE
10:
PUBLIC
ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY
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2000
Third Quarter
(Monthly
Avg.)
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2001
Third Quarter
(Monthly
Avg.)
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Percent
Change
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| Total
Caseload |
2,324
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2,889
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+24.3
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TABLE
11:
UNEMPLOYMENT
CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY
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2000
Third
Quarter
(Weekly
Avg.)
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2001
Third
Quarter
(Weekly
Avg.)
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Percent
Change
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| New
Claims |
191
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208
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+8.9
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| Total
Claims |
891
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1167
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+31.0
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TABLE
12:
RESIDENTIAL
CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
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2000
Third
Quarter
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2001
Third
Quarter
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Percent
Change
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| Residential
Permits Issued |
12
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16
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+33.3
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Estimated
Value of
New
Homes |
$1,551.5
(thousands)
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$2,460.5
(thousands)
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+58.6
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| Number
of Housing Units |
14
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31
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+121.4
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Residential
Alteration
Permits
Issued |
61
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76
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+24.6
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Estimated
Value
of
Alterations |
$593.6
(thousands)
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$692.1
(thousands)
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+16.6
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| *Data
collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County |
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TABLE
13:
NONRESIDENTIAL
CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
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2000
Third
Quarter
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2001
Third
Quarter
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| Number
of Permits Issued |
31
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40
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Estimated
Value of
New
Structures |
$2,069.0
(thousands)
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$9,173.0
(thousands)
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| Number
of Business Alteration Permits |
13
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14
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Estimated
Value
of
Business Alterations |
$752.5
(thousands)
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$1,043.7
(thousands)
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| *Data
collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County |
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TABLE
14:
CLARK
COUNTY EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR
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September 2000
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September 2001
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Percent
Change
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| Manufacturing |
3,243
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3,312
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+2.1
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| Services |
2,219
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2,240
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+0.9
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| Trade |
1,990
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1,956
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-1.7
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| Construction |
547
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583
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+6.6
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| Government |
2,134
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2,083
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-2.4
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TABLE
15:
CLARK
COUNTY EMPLOYMENT STATISTICS
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September 2000
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September 2001
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Percent
Change
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| Unemployment
Rate |
4.0%
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4.2%
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+5.0
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| Total
Employed |
15,497
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15,869
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+2.4
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| Total
Unemployed |
653
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689
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+5.5
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| Labor
Force |
16,150
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16,558
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+2.5
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Back
to 3rd Quarter 2001 Report
CWERB
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DBE Phone: (715) 346-2728 Fax: (715) 346-3310 Webmaster
University of
Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business
and Economics
Stevens Point,
Wisconsin 54481
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