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Most of the
economic indicators for Third Quarter 2000 reflected a positive situation.
For example, the unemployment rate, while rising slightly, is still at
an incredibly low 2.6 percent. In addition, total employment and
industrial sector employment both registered nice gains from last year.
The majority of this quarter's economic indicators fall in line with the
aforementioned results. The only significant exception was the noticeable
increase in public assistance claims.
Portage County manufacturing
employment rose by 800 positions or by 14.5 percent. Likewise, services
added 300 jobs, and grew by 4.5 percent over the period. Trade and
government payrolls were lower by 200 and 900 positions respectively from
last year. Construction employment, which was stable over the year,
is estimated to be 1,400 positions (Table 7).
The CWERB panel of local
merchants is presented in Table 8. Area merchants
believe that store sales are at about the same level as a year ago, and
that store traffic is somewhat lower than in 1999. Retail sales over
the past number of years have been strong for the area. Therefore,
the results are more positive in nature than what one might think at first
glance. This group also holds the position that store sales and traffic
will improve slightly next quarter as compared to a year ago.
Help wanted advertising
in the area is at a record high (Table 9).
The reading of 423 indicates there are 4.2 jobs being advertised for each
job in the base year. Clearly the help wanted advertising index captures
only a small portion of the total amount of activity that exists in the
job market. However, it does serve as a good barometer as to which
way the economic winds are blowing.
Not all of this quarter's
economic news is good. A measure of local family financial distress
is public assistance claims. New applications on a monthly basis
rose from 106 to 370. Moreover, the total caseload figure rose from
1,848 to 2,098 over the past year (Table 10).
Thus, the data shows that there are families in the area that are experiencing
financial distress. In addition, there were increases registered
in new and total unemployment claim data (Table 11).
Specifically, new claims rose from 46 to 52 and total claims increased
from 136 to 148 over the past twelve months. Given the larger increases
in public assistance as compared to unemployment claims, it would appear
that the increase in the former might be rooted in factors other than those
associated with economic conditions.
Construction activity in
the greater Stevens Point-Plover area continues to do well (Table
12). Residential permits issued stayed at the elevated level
of last year. Moreover, the value of this year's residential construction
grew by 24.1 percent. The actual number of housing units rose by
a dramatic 121.2 percent. A number of new multi-unit structures accounted
for this outcome. There was also an increase in the amount of alteration
activities. The number of permits rose by 8.8 percent and the estimated
value of the construction was 27.8 percent above last year's figure.
More good news comes from
the nonresidential construction figures (Table 13).
The number of permits was 14 and the value was estimated to be $14.2 million
dollars during Third Quarter. The number of business alteration permits
was 38 and the value associated with this activity was approximately $3.0
million.
Financial activity in the
local area continues to grow (Table 14). Our
sample of local financial institutions suggests that deposits rose by approximately
7.2 percent from the same time last year. In addition, bank lending
in our sample suggests that loan activity increased from $356.3 million
to $402.6, or 13.0 percent from a year ago. Both the lending and
deposits figures indicate that the local area economy is growing at a respectable
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