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The Central
Wisconsin economy continues to expand as of Third Quarter 2000. Most
numbers of economic performance were positive and strongly suggest that
the economy has not slowed down all that much. One concern though
is that regional business leaders are expressing some pessimism with regard
to future economic performance.
Unemployment rates in most
of our reporting areas rose above last year's marks. Portage, Marathon,
and Wood Counties saw their unemployment climb to 2.6, 2.9, and 3.6 percent
respectively (Table 2). The good news is that
even though the rates increased they still remain at very low levels.
The Central Wisconsin labor force weighted unemployment rate and the state
of Wisconsin experienced a similar situation. Only the United States
mark declined in Third Quarter 2000.
At the same time that unemployment
rates were rising, the total employment figures in the area were increasing
(Table 3). Portage, Marathon, and Wood Counties
experienced employment growth of 3.4, 4.4, and 5.1 percent respectively.
Central Wisconsin has added over 6,000 jobs since last year for a very
healthy growth rate of 4.3 percent. The employment growth in our
area outpaced the state and nation. The state is estimated to have
added 3.5 percent to its payrolls and the nation only 1.2 percent.
Thus, as of Third Quarter, it does not appear there has been a slow down
of activity in this part of the country.
The industrial sector employment
figures in Table 4 also show job growth taking place
in the area. Manufacturing in the three county area rose by 0.6 percent
and services increased by a very large 5.5 percent rate. Trade was
also a winner this quarter by the fact that it added nearly 3.0 percent
to its operations. Construction and government payrolls were
unchanged from last year's high marks. There are 7.0 thousand employed
in the construction area and about 18.6 thousand in government related
jobs.
Sales tax collection, as
shown in Table 5, usually contain three months of
data for the quarter. Collection problems by the state, however,
have delayed the completion of the information. Therefore, the Third
Quarter contains only two months worth of data and is not comparable to
last year's totals. It was not possible to make a year over comparison
this quarter. The ability to do this will be restored as soon as
possible.
The Figure 5A
and Figure 5B show Central Wisconsin employment trends for
the five major industrial sector classifications. After examining
the graphs, it becomes clear that services has become the dominant employer
in Central Wisconsin. This of course follows the national trend in
employment patterns. Perhaps the surprising thing though is how rapidly
the domination has taken place. As a matter of fact it has become
the main engine of employment growth in our area.
The CWERB survey of area
business leaders suggests this group is less than neutral in its assessment
of recent economic changes at the national and local levels (Table
6). They were almost equally pessimistic when assessing the economic
course of the nation, local area, and their industry. Clearly the
attempts of the Federal Reserve to slow the economy, and rising energy
pricing are playing a role in their assessment of the future situation.
Hopefully, this is not a harbinger of things to come. |