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During the past twelve months the national economy grew by a healthy 3.6
percent. Moreover, the nation's factories increased their output by nearly 4
percent. These numbers strongly suggest the economy is on a solid foundation.
Short‑term interest rates remain virtually unchanged over the period, rising by
only 2 basis points. Even with good economic growth taking place inflation
remains abated, rising by only 2.3 percent.
The
unemployment rates throughout the region continue to be at near historic low
levels. The overall rate for the region stands at just 4.1 percent. Even lower
yet is the state mark of 3.8 percent. Moreover, Wisconsin has one of the lowest
unemployment figures in the country. The U.S. as a whole came in with a 5.2
percent rate. Further, the national unemployment rate continues to.spiral
downward as the economy grows.
Employment growth rates at the state and regional level for many years have
exceeded that of the nation. However, after many years of expansion, labor
markets throughout the state are tight for skilled workers. Thus, employment
growth in the state and region will necessarily slow unless there is some
unforeseen in‑migration into the state. Most analysts now see the nation's
payrolls growing at a faster clip than the state. In essence the nation is going
through a phase already experienced by Wisconsin.
Industrial sector employment in the region is of course facing the same set of
conditions as alluded to earlier. Industrial sector growth amounted to 1.6
percent over the year. Manufacturing, services, and trade managed to add 600,
1,100, and 1,600 positions respectively. However, contractions of 200 and 900
were experienced in the construction and government sectors.
Tax
collection data for the counties of the region who levy a local sales tax
increased nicely over the period. Persons and institutions In Portage county
went on a spending spree with tax collections rising from $739.4 to $893.1
thousand over the year. Marathon county activity rose from $1.5 to $1.6 million
over the same period. Retail sales is an important gauge of how much economic
activity is taking place in the local area. Sales normally increase when people
are reasonably confident about their jobs and income security.
Regional business leaders are much more upbeat about recent changes at the
national and local level than last quarter. The readings in the low 60's are
significantly different from those of the upper 40's registered during the First
Quarter. The decision to make no change in interest rate policy by the Federal
Reserve and the subsequent relative stability exhibited by the stock market
played a major role in the rebound of the confidence index. This group also
believes that the economy will remain stable in the quarter ahead.
The
Wausau area economic statistics were very positive. There is little doubt that
the area economy is doing well. Even though an occasional set back occurs at a
particular business, it is usually more than offset by the positive developments
taking place elsewhere with other firms. |