Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Central Wisconsin
2nd Quarter 1997

Table 2 Table 3 Table 4 Table 5 Fig 5A Fig 5B Table 6

 

     The three county area that comprises Central Wisconsin, Marathon, Portage, and Wood, continues to prosper in Second Quarter 1997. The unemployment rates are very low, after many years of brisk growth employment is at very high levels, and business executives are sanguine about the current economic situation. If the national economy remains on its forecasted course, the state and region should continue to enjoy economic prosperity. 

     The seasonally unadjusted unemployment rates for Central Wisconsin's counties remained at very low levels during Second Quarter (Table 2). The rates in Portage and Wood were 4.7 and 4.5 percent respectively. These figures, while extremely low, were slightly higher than a year ago. Marathon county, however, experienced a continued decline in its unemployment rate. The measure dropped from 3.8 to 3.5 percent. Overall, Central Wisconsin's labor force weighted unemployment rate rose ever so slightly, from 4.0 to 4.1 percent.

     With tight labor markets prevailing throughout the state, the result of a decade of strong economic growth, it was inevitable that employment creation would slow (Table 3). Total employment in Marathon county increased by approximately 0.3 percent and likewise employment expanded by a modest 1.0 percent in Wood county. Portage county total employment was estimated to have contracted since last year. For the state as a whole job expansion was a scant 0.2 percent.

     Industrial sector growth has slowed for the reason already alluded to earlier in this report (Table 4). Central Wisconsin industrial sector employment increased by just 1.6 percent in a year over comparison. Manufacturing, services, and trade grew by 1.7, 2.4, and 5.1 percent respectively. However, construction and government payrolls were down by 3.4 and 5.1 percent over the period.

     Retail sales is an important indicator of economic activity for an area (Table 5). Portage county sales tax collections rose dramatically from $739.4 to $893.1 thousand, or by about 20 percent, over the period. Marathon county also experienced an increase. The change in collections was a more modest 3.1 percent. However, Marathon county has experienced many years of robust growth in its retail sector which makes continued large increases more difficult to achieve.

     The CWERB's panel of area business executives expressed a greater degree of optimism this quarter as compared to last (Table 6). Recent changes at the national and local levels were said to be much better than last quarter. Moreover, the group believes these improved conditions will prevail over the next several quarters. In other words, they do not see a reversal of fortune coming anytime in the near future. This is especially true when it comes to their particular industry.

 
TABLE 2:
UNEMPLOYMENT IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
 
Unemployment Rate
June 1996
Unemployment Rate
June 1997
Percent
Change
Portage
4.4%
4.7%
+6.8
Marathon
3.8%
3.5%
-7.9
Wood
3.9%
4.5%

+15.4

Central Wisconsin
4.0%
4.1%

+2.5

Wisconsin
3.7%
3.8%
+2.7
United States
5.5%
5.2%
-5.5
TABLE 3:
EMPLOYMENT IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
 
Total Employment
June 1996
(Thousands)
Total Employment
June 1997
(Thousands)
Percent
Change
Portage
36.4
34.9
-4.1
Marathon
70.1
70.3
+0.3
Wood
39.1
39.5
+1.0
Central Wisconsin
145.6
144.6
-0.7
Wisconsin
2,877.2
2,881.9
+0.2
United States
127,706
130,463
+2.2
TABLE 4:
CENTRAL WISCONSIN EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
June 1996 (Thousands)
Employment
June 1997 (Thousands)
Percent Change
Manufacturing
34.4
35.0
+1.7
Durable goods
17.4
18.0
+3.4
Nondurable
goods
17.0
17.0
0
Services
46.4

47.5

+2.4
Trade
31.6
33.2
+5.1
Construction

5.8

5.6
-3.4
Government
17.6
16.7
-5.1

TABLE 5:
COUNTY SALES TAX DISTRIBUTION

 

1996 Sales Tax
Second Quarter
(Thousands)

1997 Sales Tax
Second Quarter
(Thousands)

Percent
Change

Portage County

$739.4

$893.1

+20.8

Marathon County

$1,510.5

$1,557.7

+3.1


FIGURE 5A:
CENTRAL WISCONSIN EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR--
MANUFACTURING, SERVICES AND TRADE

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FIGURE 5B:
CENTRAL WISCONSIN EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR--
CONSTRUCTION AND GOVERNMENT

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TABLE 6:
BUSINESS CONFIDENCE IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
                               
Index Value
March 1997
June 1997
Recent Change in
National Economic Conditions
49
63
Recent Change in
Local Economic Conditions
48
61
Expected Change in
National Economic Conditions
51
53
Expected Change in
Local Economic Conditions
56
50
Expected Change in
Industry Conditions
60
58
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
Stevens Point, Wisconsin 54481