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The
Central Wisconsin economy experienced much growth over the preceding
twelve months. Clearly the surprising strength of the national economy during
Second Quarter 1996 added momentum to our local situation. Our seasonally
unadjusted unemployment rates plunged in the three‑county area while payrolls
rose dramatically. Further, regional business executives believe that their
firms will be expanding at a decent pace for the remainder of the year.
Unemployment rates took a sharp tumble over the course of the year (Table
2). Strong job growth across the
United States and here at home
helped to push rates to 25‑year lows. Table 2 indicates that the unemployment
rate for Marathon. Portage and Wood counties stood at 3.8, 4.5 and 3.8 percent
respectively. These rates are well below the 5.3 percent which was recorded for
the nation.
The economy of the nation has
been surprisingly robust. The vast majority of analysts did not foresee the
strong rebound in activity which took place in the Second Quarter of 1996. This
late spurt helped to push employment growth for the year into the stratosphere
(Table
3).
Central Wisconsin gained
approximately 9,700 jobs from June of last year. This represents a very strong
6.8 percent amount of job growth. The job expansion experienced locally exceeded
the rate of increase for the state and nation.
Table 4 gives a breakdown of this job growth for
our Central Wisconsin
industrial sectors. Job creation was spread among all the industrial sectors,
except for construction. The increase in demand for goods and services produced
in our area translated into gains of 900 for manufacturing, a higher paying
category, and 1,000. positions in the services category.
Figure 5A and Figure 5B depict
employment movements in
Central Wisconsin's major industrial sectors over the past four years. This
quarters report will focus on manufacturing. Manufacturing has increased over
the period from 32.5 to 34.0 thousand. A closer examination of the data
indicates that nondurable goods manufacturing employment has grown very slowly
over this period. Most of the increase in the manufacturing category has come in
the form of increases in durable goods manufacturing. Furthermore, Second
Quarter 1998 reflects this trend as durable goods manufacturing outpaced
nondurable goods production. Nondurables are items that have an expected useful
life of less than three years.
Surveys of business people are a useful way to gain insight into the
local economy (Table
6). Our local people believe that the national economy is slightly better
than one year ago. At the same time, their beliefs concerning the future can be
summarized as being cautiously optimistic. This holds true especially for their
particular industry. Given that these individuals know more about their own
businesses than anyone else, this is encouraging news for the regional economy. |