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Central Wisconsin's economic indicators are mixed this time around. The
following examples support this conclusion. Employment in the area is up only
slightly from a year ago. One county actually had a decrease in employment. The
overall unemployment rate in the
Central Wisconsin region rose,
although the individual rate for one county actually declined. Industrial sector
employment contained two sectors in which employment contracted and three
sectors which experienced increased employment. Likewise, two of the regions key
industries had expanding payrolls end two showed declining employment numbers.
Finally, the level of optimism expressed by regional business leaders was well
off the pace of last quarter's report, but four of the five categories had
readings above 50, which indicates stability in the local situation.
The seasonally unadjusted unemployment rates for
Central Wisconsin are
presented in Table 2. The unemployment rates for the three
counties traveled on different paths this quarter. The
Portage
County
rate remained unchanged at 6.4 percent. In
Marathon
County
the unemployment rate rose from 5.2 to 5.4 percent, and
Wood
County's
rate fell from 6.4 to 5.8 percent. Overall, the labor force weighted
unemployment rate for the region rose from 5.7 to 5.8 percent over the year.
Table 3 shows the differences in
employment growth among the three counties of
Central Wisconsin.
Portage
and Wood County employment rose by 1.8 and 1.6 percent respectively in a year
over comparison. However, Marathon County employment fell from 64.3 to 63.9
thousand, a small drop of 0.6 percent. In sum, the region, as a whole, gained
just 800 jobs for an increase of 0.6 percent. This was similar to the situation
at the state level where the number of jobs grew by only 0.8 percent.
Industrial sector employment presented in
Table 4 indicates that
Central Wisconsin's
manufacturing and government sectors contracted from a year ago. Employment fell
by 400 and 500 positions respectively. However, the services, trade, and
construction sectors all posted reasonable levels of growth, 1000, 1100, and 400
respectively in the three county area of
Central Wisconsin. Over the years the service and trade sectors have become an
ever larger portion of the economy's job base.
Key industries for the
Central Wisconsin area are listed in Table 5.
Both paper products and food processing payrolls declined from June 1992; paper
products by 100 and food processing by 300. The unusually wet weather of spring
and early summer 1993 has had a negative impact on the latter. On the brighter
side of the ledger, lumber and wood products expanded by 100 jobs and finance,
insurance, and real estate by 800.
The confidence levels of regional business
executives are listed in Table 6. The confidence levels of
this group have fallen, in some cases significantly, from last quarter. Recent
changes at the national level were rated at a relatively low 48 down from 68
last quarter, and recent changes locally are deemed to be about the same as last
quarter, 51 versus 55. When asked to forecast future economic conditions, this
group, while mildly positive, is much less upbeat than last quarter. Expected
changes in economic conditions nationally, locally, and in the respective
individual industries stood at 53, 57, and 59 compared to 61, 60, and 67 in
March of this year. Concern over pending major legislation in
Washington has played a large
role in this quarter's results. |