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National economic statistics are presented in Table 1. Real Gross National
Product decreased from $4155.1 to $4128.4 for a 0.6 percent decline from last
year indicating that the dollar amount of goods and services produced has
contracted from twelve months ago. Another measure of overall economic activity
is industrial production. The index shows that the nation's factories produced
nearly 3 percent fewer goods this quarter than during second quarter 1990.
Interest rates, as proxied by the three month U.S. Treasury Bill rate, fell from
7.78 percent to 5.58 percent over the past year reflecting a slowing economy.
And inflation, as measured by the CPI, is up 6 percent from a year ago, although
the upward trend has been moderating during the past several months.
Unemployment rates in Marathon, Portage, and Wood Counties have risen sharply
reaching the mid to upper 5 percent range. The 5.6 percent composite rate for
the region is very good when compared to historic norms. The United States
unemployment rate, on the other hand, now has reached nearly 7 percent. Thus,
this measure of economic performance suggests that
Central Wisconsin is weathering the economic storm reasonably well.
Employment for each county continued to rise over the past year. Portage,
Marathon, and Wood Counties are estimated to have about 1200, 400, and 2000 more
people employed than a year ago. This differs from what is being reported at the
state and national levels, where employment gains are nonexistent. For the
region as a whole the employment total rose from 127.8 to 131.8 thousand.
In the nonfarm industrial classifications nearly 2400 more people were employed
in June 1991 than in June 1990. Services added about 1300 workers, trade 400,
and government 600. However, manufacturing and construction, which are very
sensitive to business cycle fluctuation registered slight decreases or no change
in employment. As forecasted in earlier reports our area is holding up very well
to the current iteration of the business cycle.
The vitally important key sector industries recorded a decent gain of 1.7
percent. Paper products and finance, insurance, and real estate managed to keep
the economic ball rolling by posting gains of 1.0 percent and 7.7 percent
respectively. On net the key industries of
Marathon,
Portage,
and Wood Counties added 500 new jobs to locals payrolls. This bodes well for our
area given that these industries support many spin‑off types of employment such
as in the retail trade and service sectors.
Business leaders in the area tell the CWERB that the national economy has
improved somewhat over the last several months while the local situation is
about the same or perhaps a bit softer. However, this group is quite optimistic
about the future of the national and local economies and about their particular
industries. The latter, of course, bears most directly on our local prosperity.
The Marshfield area is quite clearly being influenced by the waning national
recession. Some of the local layoffs are a direct result of softening demand
and/or stiff international competition for many types of locally produced goods
and services. With the national economy showing signs of pulling out of the
doldrums, the long term forecast for the area is for a brighter economic
picture to develop later this year. |