Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Wausau Area
2nd Quarter 1987

Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table 14

 

     If the mild winter influenced first quarter 1987 results, the impact must have been slight, because second quarter economic activity was as impressive as that of the first period of the year. Evidence to support this supposition is as follows. The unemployment rate has declined substantially. In fact it is at a decade low. Total employment and nonfarm employment are considerably above last year's levels. Retailers have indicated that second quarter sales and store traffic were noticeably better than in June 1986. Public assistance and unemployment claims have contracted from a year ago. Lastly, bank loan activity supports the assertion that the economy was in an expansive mode. The local economy should continue to be vibrant during the remainder of 1987. Besides the favorable variables mentioned elsewhere in the report, the following local data must be taken into consideration. First, several key industries in the area are forecasted to have a strong outlook. Regional business leaders have indicated that there will be a continuation of present economic activities and retail executives assert that store sales and traffic will be better in the future. Also, help wanted advertising, residential and nonresidential construction, and bank deposit data all point toward a vigorous third quarter.

     Marathon County's nonfarm employment is listed by sector in Table 7. Overall, nonfarm employment increased by 1700 positions from a year ago. This translates into a very healthy 3.8% expansion. Manufacturing led all sectors by posting a 10.7% gain. Trade employment also demonstrated improvement with an increase of 500 jobs. Government employment was slightly above the second quarter 1986 level, while the number of people holding service related jobs remained constant. Construction employment was the only sector that experienced a contraction in employment from June 1986. This was due to the mild winter weather which allowed building activities to commence earlier than usual. In summary, second quarter 1987 proved to be a very healthy one for Marathon County.

     The CWERB's retailer confidence index is presented in Table 8. Retailers indicated that store traffic and sales have improved from the previous year. This supports the position that economic activity was expansive during last quarter. Moreover, when asked about expected sales and store traffic, most retailers felt that economic conditions would continue upward.

     Labor demand is measured in Table 9. The help wanted advertising index now stands at 227. This represents a 127% increase from 1980 in the number of jobs listed in the local newspaper. Moreover, the 227 index value represents the highest total ever recorded for Wausau regardless of the time of year. In comparison to last year, there were 24% more positions advertised. Thus we can expect payrolls to continue to grow in the local community.

     Table 10 gives the public assistance claims for the Wausau area. Good news comes from the fact that the total case load is significantly reduced from a year ago. It should be noted that the figure for new applications for public assistance in second quarter 1986 was understated due to the fact that the process for filing claims was changed last year and individuals may not have adjusted to the new circumstances. Furthermore, as can be seen in Table 11, initial and total unemployment claims are much lower than in June 1986. This evidence supports the contention that the economic climate of the Wausau area has improved considerably from last year.

     Table 12 gives the residential construction data for the local community. It appears that the mild winter of first quarter did not greatly distract from second quarter results. In other words, residential construction was robust in all categories. For example, residential permits were up by approximately 66%. This brisk activity will translate into future employment and income gains for the Wausau area. Nonresidential construction also has continued to add to the local capital stock.

     The financial statistics are displayed in Table 14. Bank deposits expanded by 6.8% from last year, thus suggesting an increase in local liquidity. The vigorous rise in bank loan activity reflects the improvement in the Wausau area economy during second quarter 1987. The loan figure does not include data concerning the reselling of loans in the secondary market.

 
TABLE 7:
MARATHON COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
June 1987
(Thousands)
Employment
June 1986
(Thousands)
Percent Change
Manufacturing
13.5

12.2

+10.7
Services
14.2

14.2

0.0
Trade
11.9

11.4

+4.4
Construction
1.4

1.6

-12.5
Government
5.8

5.7

+1.8
 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN WAUSAU
                   
Index Value
June 1987
March 1986
Total Sales Compared
     to Previous Year

64

69
Store Traffic Compared
     to Previous Year
67
72
Expected Sales Three
     Months From Now
67
66
Expected Store Traffic
     Three Months From Now
67
65
100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN WAUSAU
       
Index Value
1987
1986
Wausau
(June)
(1980 = 100)
227

167

U.S.
(May)
(1967 = 100)

143

131

TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN MARATHON COUNTY

 

1987
Second Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)

1986
Second Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)

Percent
Change

New Applications

48

28

+71.4

Total Claims

273

289

-5.5

*As of First Quarter 1986 Public Assistance Claims in Marshfield
are being compiled on a county-wide basis.

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TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN WAUSAU *
 
1987
Second Quarter
1986
Second Quarter
Percent
Change
New Claims
2,451

3,106

-21.1
Total Claims
23,504

25,483

-7.8
* Includes Medford Area.
 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN WAUSAU AREA
 
1987
Second Quarter
1986
Second Quarter
Percent
Change
Residential Permits Issued
53
32
+65.6
Estimated Value of New Homes
$3,851.3
(thousands)
$2,784.0
(thousands)
+38.3
Number of Housing Units
72
39

+84.6

Residential Alteration Permits Issued
196
155
+26.5
Estimated Value of Alterations

$576.6
(thousands)

$558.8
(thousands)

+3.2

*Does not include the Town of Rib Mountain or City of Schofield.
 Data Collected by University of Wisconsin-Marathon Center
 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN WAUSAU AREA
 
1987
Second Quarter
1986
 Second Quarter
Number of Permits Issued
25
12
Estimated Value of
New Structures
$2,060.8
(thousands)
$2,770.0
(thousands)
Number of Business Alteration Permits 
15
16
Estimated Value
of Business Alterations
$1,894.5
(thousands)
$1,566.1
(thousands)
*Does not include the Town of Rib Mountain or City of Schofield.
 Data Collected by University of Wisconsin-Marathon Center
 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR MARATHON COUNTY
 
1987
Second Quarter
(Millions)
1986
Second Quarter
(Millions)
Percent
Change
Bank Deposits
$553.8
$518.4

+6.8

Bank Loans

$423.8

$393.7

+7.6

*Data Collected by University of Wisconsin-Marathon Center
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
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