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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Stevens Point Area
2nd Quarter 1986

 
Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table 14
 

     The local economy continued to demonstrate a sluggishness that commenced in the second half of last year. Employment for Portage County's nonfarm sectors decreased by 520 or 2.3% from last year. Residential construction was also disappointing when compared to a year ago. All five categories under residential construction experienced declines from last year's levels. However, some strength was reported in the area of retailer confidence in present and future economic activity. Also, the help wanted advertising index presented in Table 9 indicates that when compared to a year ago the demand for labor has increased. Another positive sign came from the financial statistics presented in Table 14. The rate of growth for bank deposits exceeded the growth rate for funds loaned. Thus, the liquidity of the community or purchasing power should be enhanced in the future.

     Portage County employment by sector is presented in Table 7. The manufacturing sector displayed no growth in employment over 1985 levels. Services declined by 14.2% from the same period in 1985. The major reason for this decline was the reduction in the transportation, communication, and utilities component of the number. Construction and government each posted gains over last year's employment numbers. Trade showed signs of recovery with a gain of 100 jobs. This represents the first increase since the mall’s construction and is the highest level of employment achieved since first quarter 1985.

     The retailer confidence survey for the Stevens Point-Plover area (Table 8) reflects that, as a group, retailers believe they have experienced an increase in total sales and in store traffic when compared to June of last year. Furthermore, retailers in the area are forecasting that sales and traffic will improve over the next quarter.

     The demand for labor in the Stevens Point area is gauged by the help wanted advertising index. June's index value was 173. This is a substantial increase over the 100.8 level of June 1985. Thus, there was approximately a 73% increase in help wanted over that of a year ago (Table 9).

     As of first quarter 1986, public assistance figures are being computed on a county-wide basis. The change in the data base may tend to overstate the number of claims relative to previous quarters but should provide a more precise picture of conditions in the county in the future.

     Unemployment claims in Stevens Point dropped dramatically by 24.3% from second quarter 1985 (Table 11.). However, the decrease of 389 claims may not portray an improvement over last year's performance for the following reasons: claims are< now processed only one day per week at the Stevens Point office. Thus, less accessibility may have caused some individuals to file at the Wisconsin Rapids' office. Out migration from the area and worker discouragement may also have played a part in lowering the claims number. Finally, the base number of weeks needed to qualify was increased.

     Lower interest rates have not stimulated residential construction in the Stevens Point-Plover area. Table 12 shows that despite lower long-term interest rates, residential permits issued declined 11.1 % from the same period last year. Also, the estimated value of new homes fell 34.1 %. There were similar declines in the number of housing units, alteration permits, and alteration values. Thus, the improved weather conditions and lower interest rates of spring did not stimulate the local residential construction scene.

     Nonresidential construction in the Stevens Point-Plover area showed some strength over the second quarter of 1985. The area of greatest improvement was in the business alterations category. However, the estimated value of new structures was down .from a comparable period last year.

     Financial statistics for Portage County are collected from the four largest commercial banks in the area. The data indicates that both bank deposits and bank loans experienced growth when compared to last year's figures. Bank deposits now stand 3.3% higher and bank loans 1.5% above the second quarter 1985 numbers. The first figure often signals future economic activity on the part of consumers and an increase in future loan activity. The second number, which deals with bank loans, indicates that locally the market is carrying more debt than a year ago. Overall, the larger expansion in bank deposits should offset the negative effects of increased local indebtedness.

 
TABLE 7:
PORTAGE COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
June 1986
Employment
June 1985
Percent
Change
Manufacturing
4,100
4,100

0.0

Services
6,570
7,660
-14.2
Trade
5,400
5,300

+1.9

Construction
670

600

+11.7
Government
5,600
5,200
+7.7
 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN STEVENS POINT-PLOVER AREA
                                        
Index Value
June 1986
March 1986
Total Sales Compared
to Previous Year
69
55
Store Traffic Compared
to Previous Year
66
59
Expected Sales Three
Months From Now
73
70
Expected Store Traffic
Three Months From Now
73
71
100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN PORTAGE COUNTY
                                
Index Value
1986
1985
Stevens Point
(June)
173

100.8

U.S.
(May)
128

131

 
TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN PORTAGE COUNTY
 
1986
Second Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
1985
Second Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
Percent Change
Public Assistance Claims

89

-

-

*As of First Quarter 1986 Public Assistance Claims are being compiled on a county-wide basis,
therefore there is no comparable 1985 figure.
 
TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN PORTAGE COUNTY
 
1986
Second Quarter
1985
Second Quarter
Percent Change
Total Claims
1,214
1,603
-24.2
 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN STEVENS POINT-PLOVER AREA*
 
1986
Second Quarter
1985
Second Quarter
Percent Change
Residential Permits Issued
40
45
-11.1
Estimated Value of
New Homes
$2,699.7
(thousands)
$4,095.4
(thousands)
-34.4
Number of Housing Units

60

130

-53.5
Residential Alteration
Permits Issued
188
199
-5.5
Estimated Value
of Alterations
$467.3
(thousands)
$507.3
(thousands)
-7.9
*Includes Stevens Point, Village of Plover, and the Towns of Hull, Stockton, Sharon, and Plover.
 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN STEVENS POINT-PLOVER AREA*
 
1986
Second Quarter
1985
Second Quarter
Number of Permits Issued
8
6
Estimated Value of 
New Structures

$910.0
(thousands)

$1,430.0
(thousands)

Number of Business Alteration Permits

40

37

Estimated Value 
of Business Alterations

$2,014.6
(thousands)

$463.6
(thousands)

*Includes Stevens Point, Village of Plover, and the Towns of Hull, Stockton, Sharon, and Plover.
 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR PORTAGE COUNTY
 
1986
Second Quarter
(Millions)
1985
Second Quarter
(Millions)
Percent Change
Bank Deposits
$254.0

$245.8

+3.3
Bank Loans
$141.8

$139.7

+1.5
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
Stevens Point, Wisconsin 54481