Slowed by local layoffs and weakness in the national economy, the
Wausau
area has completed a year of essentially no growth. However, there are
emerging signs of an improvement in local conditions in the months ahead.
This section of the report focuses on data specific to the Wausau area. Tables 7-14 contain information
on local labor, retail, construction and financial markets.
Weakness in the local economy over the past year is reflected in the Marathon County
employment statistics (Table 7). The trade sector,
which had been the major source of job opportunities in recent quarters,
showed virtually no change in payrolls when compared to last June. Nor can
expanding employment be found in services, construction or government. The
only major sector to report increased payrolls over June 1984 is
manufacturing. An employment expansion in the manufacturing sector is very
significant for the local economy. New jobs have been concentrated in
durable goods industries, suggesting a revival of national demand for hard
goods. Employment gains in the manufacturing sector generate an expansion of
local demand, thus increasing payrolls in services and trade. The
manufacturing gains reported so far have not been great but they are
widespread and represent a change in direction'. Payrolls have risen in the
machinery, fabricated metal and lumber industries.
Retailers in the Wausau area observed a
moderate increase in sales during the second quarter (Table
8). The retailer confidence index has hovered around the mild
improvement level for several quarters. Expectations of future sales showed
a slight decline from the March reading.
The volume of help wanted advertising is up slightly over last June (Table
9). Labor demand appears to be improving in the area economy. This is
suggestive of gradually improving local employment conditions.
The total caseload for public assistance claims processed at the
Marathon
County office in Wausau show almost no change from a year ago (Table
10). However, new applications fell sharply. A large drop in new
applications will translate into a decline in the total caseload during the
third quarter.
The unemployment claim figures are mixed but not nearly as negative as the
first quarter (Table 11). Total unemployment claims
dropped an encouraging 9.4% initial unemployment claims are higher than a
year ago but down sharply from the first quarter level. Once again the
indicators are pointing to a gradual improvement in local conditions.
Faint signs of improvement are beginning to appear in the local residential
construction market (Table 12). The value of new home
construction is up slightly and alteration activity is well above a year
ago. However, lower interest rates have yet to trigger an increase in new
permits in the area.
Nonresidential construction is much less sensitive to interest rates than is
residential construction (Table 13). Business
construction activity is heavily dependent on the level of demand. With very
little growth in local demand in recent months there has been less incentive
for businesses to expand capital appropriations in the area.
Financial statistics for Wausau provide
confirmation for previous conclusions (Table
14). Bank loans, a measure of current economic activity, rose only
modestly. Bank deposits, a gage of future activity, rose sharply. Rising
deposits suggests increased liquidity which usually results in greater
future demand for goods and services.