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Division
of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens
Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774 (715)
346-2537 |
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Randy
F. Cray, Ph.D.
Director,
Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
Central
Wisconsin
2nd
Quarter 2001
Table
2 Table 3 Table 4 Table
5 Fig 5A Fig 5B Table
6
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The
unemployment rate in all reporting areas was higher than a year ago at the
same time. The sluggish nature of
the Central Wisconsin economy is reflected in the results (Table
2). Specifically, the labor
force grew more quickly than the economy was able to create jobs.
In Portage County, the unemployment rate increased from 4.3 percent to
5.1 percent. Likewise, the
unemployment rate increased from 3.5 to 4.0 percent in Marathon County and
from 4.6 to 5.9 percent in Wood County. Similarly,
the state of Wisconsin experienced an unemployment rate increase of 3.8 to 4.5
percent. This mirrors what took
place for the nation as a whole. For
the U.S., the unemployment rate rose from 4.2 to 4.7 percent in our year over
comparison.
Employment
growth was minimal throughout the region (Table 3).
Portage and Wood county payrolls are estimated to have expanded 0.8
percent and 1.0 percent over the past twelve months.
Marathon payrolls unfortunately are estimated to have contracted by 0.7
percent. Central Wisconsin as a
whole managed to post a very modest 0.1 percent gain in overall employment.
The total employment estimate for Central Wisconsin increased from
150.6 thousand to just 150.8 thousand over the period.
This performance is slightly better than the state and nation which
posted losses of 0.1 and 0.2 percent respectively over the past twelve months.
Employment
growth difficulties in Central Wisconsin are primarily associated with the
manufacturing sector (Table 4).
Manufacturing in the three county area has contracted from 36.5
thousand to 35.3 thousand or 3.3 percent from a year ago.
Durable good manufacturing in particular has been hard hit by current
economic conditions falling by an estimated 4.1 percent over the period. Better news comes form the services sector where a 2.6
percent gain was recorded. Likewise,
trade expanded by 1.2 percent, construction by 1.5 percent, and government by
1.6 percent.
Another
indication of the sluggish nature of the economy comes from the sales tax
collection figures for the area (Table 5).
This barometer of the retail sales activity shows a sharp drop off in
activity. Portage county collections are estimated by the state to have
fallen by about 23 percent from a year ago.
At the same time Marathon County sales tax collection are reportedly
lower by about 16 percent over the period.
The Figure 5A and Figure 5B
are presented in order to give the reader historic overview as to the how the
manufacturing, services, trade, construction, and government sectors have
grown over the past five years. These
charts also give some sense as to the magnitude of change and the relative
importance of each sector to the Central Wisconsin economy.
Our survey of area business people shows that there has been an improvement in
their assessment of the economic situation ( Table 6).
However, even with this improvement this group's assessment of recent
changes at the national and local levels remains less than optimistic.
The group's assessment of the economy, whether it be for the nation,
local, or industry level, indicates that they expect an improvement to take
place in economic activity by year's end.
Only time will tell if this forecast is correct.
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TABLE
2:
UNEMPLOYMENT
IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
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Unemployment
Rate
June 2000
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Unemployment
Rate
June 2001
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Percent
Change
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| Portage |
4.3%
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5.1%
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+18.6
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| Marathon |
3.5%
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4.0%
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+14.3
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| Wood |
4.6%
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5.9%
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+28.3
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| Central
Wisconsin |
4.0%
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4.8%
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+20.0
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| Wisconsin |
3.8%
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4.5%
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+18.4
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| United
States |
4.2%
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4.7%
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-11.9
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TABLE
3:
EMPLOYMENT
IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
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Total
Employment
June 2000
(Thousands)
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Total
Employment
June 2001
(Thousands)
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Percent
Change
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| Portage |
36.6
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36.9
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+0.8
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| Marathon |
75.0
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74.3
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-0.7
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| Wood |
39.3
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39.6
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+1.0
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| Central
Wisconsin |
150.9
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150.8
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+0.1
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| Wisconsin |
2,973.3
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2,970.0
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-0.1
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| United
States |
136,192
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135,922
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-0.2
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TABLE
4:
CENTRAL
WISCONSIN EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
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Employment
June 2000 (Thousands)
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Employment
June 2001 (Thousands)
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Percent
Change
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| Manufacturing |
36.5
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35.3
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-3.3
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| Durable
goods |
19.7
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18.9
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-4.1
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Nondurable
goods |
16.7
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16.4
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-1.8
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| Services |
53.3
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54.7
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+2.6
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| Trade |
34.2
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34.6
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+1.2
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| Construction |
6.8
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6.9
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+1.5
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| Government |
18.2
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18.5
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+1.6
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TABLE
5:
COUNTY
SALES TAX DISTRIBUTION
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2000 Sales Tax
Second Quarter
(Thousands)
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2001
Sales Tax
Second
Quarter
(Thousands)
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Percent
Change
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| Portage
County |
$1,286.6
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$990.4
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NA
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| Marathon
County |
$2,733.3
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$2,274.9
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NA
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FIGURE
5A:
CENTRAL
WISCONSIN EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR--
MANUFACTURING,
SERVICES AND TRADE

FIGURE
5B:
CENTRAL
WISCONSIN EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR--
CONSTRUCTION
AND GOVERNMENT

TABLE
6:
BUSINESS
CONFIDENCE IN CENTRAL WISCONSIN
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Index
Value
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March 2001
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June 2001
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Recent
Change in
National
Economic Conditions |
29
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40
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Recent
Change in
Local
Economic Conditions |
31
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40
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Expected
Change in
National
Economic Conditions |
52
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62
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Expected
Change in
Local
Economic Conditions |
54
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60
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Expected
Change in
Industry
Conditions |
52
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52
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Back
to 2nd Quarter 2001 Report
CWERB
Home Page
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E-mail
DBE Phone: (715) 346-2728 Fax: (715) 346-3310 Webmaster
University of
Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business
and Economics
Stevens Point,
Wisconsin 54481
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