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Table
7 Table 8 Table
9 Table 10 Table
11 Table 12 Table
13 Table 14
The
Stevens Point
economic indicators for First Quarter 1997 show that steady
improvement has taken place in numerous measures of activity.
Highlights of this report are as follows. The unemployment rate
fell to 4.9 percent from 5.3 percent from a year ago, and total
employment expanded by about 1.0 percent. Job growth in the
future will probably be constrained In
Wisconsin
and locally due to an ever tightening labor market. However,
industrial sector payrolls did manage to expand by a more robust
2.3 percent over the current period.
The Stevens Point‑Portage county industrial
sectors grew by a solid 2.3 percent from March 1996 (Table 7).
Approximately 700 total jobs were created in the local area. Manufacturing added
3.8 percent to its total from last year while the services and government
sectors expanded at around 3.0 percent over the same time period. Surprisingly,
trade and construction employment did not change over the course of the year.
Retailer confidence appears to have rebounded
somewhat from last quarter. Table 8 shows that our kcal
merchants believe that total sales and store traffic are measurably above the
levels of a year ago. An even greater surge in optimism can be found on the part
of merchants when it comes to expected sales and store traffic. The readings of
near 70 for both categories indicate a high degree of confidence with regard to
the local retail scene.
Help wanted advertising is a key barometer of
labor market conditions for the local area
(Table 9). The index for the
Stevens Point and surrounding
area remains at an elevated level. Moreover, the index rose by approximately 9.0
percent from March of 1996. Similarly, the U.S. help wanted advertising climbed
by almost 9.0 percent over the same period. As mentioned earlier labor shortages
in the U.S.
and especially in Wisconsin will most likely limit the amount of future payroll
expansions.
Public assistance claims on a monthly average
basis rose by 15. However, the total caseload figure has declined by about 134
over the past twelve months. Another measure of local family financial distress
is unemployment claims data. Here we see that new claims on a weekly average
basis rose by 11 from March 1996. Further, total claims expanded by 21 cases
over the same period. Thus Table 10 and
Table 11 indicate there has been an increase in family
financial pressure over the year.
Residential construction data in
Table 12 presents a mixed picture for this quarter. The
number of residential permits Issued was stable from last year but the estimated
value rose by approximately 10.0 percent. The number of housing units rose by
17.9 percent for the period. However, we see that alteration activity was lower
by 19.6 percent and the estimated value of the alterations activity was down by
33.9 percent. This is one of the rare times in the past number of years where
alteration activity has contracted from the previous period.
The volatile nonresidential construction sector
is depicted in Table 13. Big swings in the totals can
occur because of the existence or absence of one project. Therefore, no
percentage changes are given. The number of permits for First Quarter was 6 with
an estimated value of $773 thousand. There were 28 alteration permits issued
during the same period with an estimated value of $2.4 million. The totals for
First Quarter were somewhat lower than the historic norms for these categories.
Table 14 presents
financial statistics for
Portage county. Our sample of
local financial institutions has been modified. In other words an institution
has been added and another deleted from the survey. The data for the deleted
institution are no longer available for just the local area. Thus a change was
warranted to better reflect local economic conditions. Using our new sample as a
basis of comparison we see that bank lending has expanded by about $4 million or
1.4 percent from last year. Meanwhile, lending activity expanded by
approximately $20 million dollars or 6.8 percent over the same period.
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