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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Stevens Point Area
1st Quarter 1995

 

Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table 14

     First Quarter 1995 was very good in terms of the area's economic performance. The unemployment rate dropped from a year ago and total employment increased by 3.3 percent. Additionally, one should consider that industrial sector employment is estimated to have grown by 8 percent over the same time period. Help wanted advertising advanced significantly signaling a strengthening in the local job market and unemployment claim data were much lower than last year. Nonresidential construction was generally stronger than twelve months ago and the area's financial statistics showed surprising vigor, especially in the lending category. 

     As usual, however, not all indicators turned up roses. Residential construction in the local area was down from last year because of higher interest rates. Moreover, the total caseload for public assistance, in the category of general assistance, was up from a year ago. 

     Industrial sector employment increased in Portage county from 28.9 to 31.2 thousand since First Quarter 1994, or by a very healthy 8 percent (Table 7). All sectors of the economy participated in the growth. Services, trade, and manufacturing operations expanded by 12.9, 10.1 and 5.7 percent respectively to lead this quarter's results. Construction and government activity grew, albeit at a much more modest pace of 1.5 and 1.7 percent. 

     Merchants in the Stevens Point area tell us in Table 8 that sales and store traffic are just slightly higher than a year ago. Further, their level of confidence is somewhat down from December's levels. When their attention was directed toward the future, the panel forecasted that store traffic and sales would be only moderately better than last year. The evidence suggests that this group feels the economy will be advancing but at a slower rate in 1995 especially for their particular business. 

     Table 9 presents help wanted advertising for the local area. Advertising has progressed from 175 to 278 or 59 percent from last March. Local and state wide economic vitality is helping to drive this index upwards. The U.S. index moved forward from 122 to 134, or 10 percent in a year over comparison basis. To understand both indexes realize that a figure such as 278 indicates there are 2.8 jobs being advertised for each one in 1980. 

     Public assistance claims in Portage county are given in Table 10. New applications fell sharply from 151 to 116 on a monthly average basis, a decline of 23 percent. State provided total caseload figures include only general assistance claims. Income maintenance figures for total caseload will hopefully become available at a later date. Thus, the total caseload figures appear to be lower than the new applications figures which include the income maintenance figures. With this fad in mind, total caseload climbed from 49 to 67, or 37 percent from last year. 

     Unemployment claim data in Table 11 provides good news to the local area. New claims data on a weekly average basis contracted from 81 to 53, or nearly 35 percent from a year ago. Further, total claims declined as well. On a weekly average basis total claims contracted from 177 to 150 or by about 15 percent. 

     Residential construction was well off the activity pace of last year (Table 12). Higher interest rates undoubtedly depressed the number of residential permits issued, their estimated value, and the number of housing units by 21, 19 and 24 percent respectively. However, residential alteration permits issued and their estimated value expanded by 4 and 21 percent respectively. ft appears that local residents rather than buying a new house are thinking more in terms of modifying their current residence. 

     Better news in the construction arena is presented in Table 13 where nonresidential activity was generally higher than in First Quarter 1994. Number of permits issued reached 6 with an associated estimated value of $4.1 million. The number of alteration permits was 25 with an estimated value of $931.5 thousand. As usual, no percentage changes are given due to the volatile nature of business investment. 

     Table 14 presents the area's financial statistics and once again good news can be reported this quarter. Bank deposits increased by $17.5 million or 5.4 percent from last year rising from $323.2 to $340.7 million. Equally impressive was the activity in bank lending. Lending in our sample rose from $284.4 to $314.9 million, a gain of 10.7 percent. Lending of course eventually equates to purchases of goods and services by the borrowers.

 
TABLE 7:
PORTAGE COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
March 1994
(Thousands)
Employment
March 1995
(Thousands)
Percent
Change
Manufacturing
5.1
5.4

+5.7

Services
10.5
10.5
+10.1
Trade

6.9

7.8

+12.9

Construction
0.7
0.7
0
Government
5.8
5.9

+1.7

 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN STEVENS POINT-PLOVER AREA
                                               
Index Value
December 1994
March 1995
Total Sales Compared
to Previous Year
66
53
Store Traffic Compared
to Previous Year
61
55
Expected Sales Three
Months From Now
56
56
Expected Store Traffic
Three Months From Now
56
56
100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN PORTAGE COUNTY
                                
Index Value
1994
1995
Stevens Point
(March)
(1980 = 100)
175
278
U.S.
(February)
(1967 = 100)
122
134
 
TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN PORTAGE COUNTY
 
1994
First Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
1995
First Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)
Percent Change
New Applications
151
116
-23.2
Total Caseload

49

67

+36.7

*New Applications include General Assistance and Income Maintenance
figures.  State provided total caseload figures include only include General
Assistance.  Income Maintenance figures for total caseload will become
available at a later date.
 
TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN PORTAGE COUNTY
 
1994
First Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
1995
First Quarter
(Weekly Avg.)
Percent Change
New Claims
81
53
-34.6
Total Claims

177

150

-15.3

 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN STEVENS POINT-PLOVER AREA*
 
1994
First Quarter
1995
First Quarter
Percent Change
Residential Permits Issued

33

26

-21.2
Estimated Value of
New Homes
$3,459.0
(thousands)

$2,816.9
(thousands)

-18.5
Number of Housing Units
38

29

-23.7
Residential Alteration
Permits Issued
90

94

+4.4
Estimated Value
of Alterations
$418.6
(thousands)

$505.5
(thousands)

+20.8
*Includes Stevens Point, Village of Plover, and the Towns of Hull, Stockton, Sharon, and Plover.
 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN STEVENS POINT-PLOVER AREA*
 
1994
First Quarter
1995
First Quarter
Number of Permits Issued

1

6

Estimated Value of
New Structures
$780.8
(thousands)

$4,166.9
(thousands)

Number of Business Alteration Permits 
29

25

Estimated Value
of Business Alterations
$184.9
(thousands)

$931.5
(thousands)

*Includes Stevens Point, Village of Plover, and the Towns of Hull, Stockton, Sharon, and Plover.
 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR PORTAGE COUNTY
 
1994
First Quarter
(Millions)
1995
First Quarter
(Millions)
Percent Change
Bank Deposits
$323.2
$340.7
+5.4
Bank Loans
$284.4
$314.9
+10.7
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
Stevens Point, Wisconsin 54481