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Table
7 Table 8 Table
9 Table 10 Table
11 Table 12 Table
13 Table 14
A pall was cast over an otherwise upbeat first
quarter economic report by the impending closing of the J.I.
Case plant in Schofield. The direct loss of 425 relatively
high‑paying jobs will have a substantial impact on the local
economy. The indirect or ripple effect will be felt throughout
community as local firms that did business with J.I. Case will
see a decline in their sales and profits. Further, the
employees of J.I. Case will purchase fewer goods and services
which, in turn, will hurt other
Wausau
businesses. The possible closing of the plant, if no buyer is
found or other arrangement is reached, has long been a subject
of speculation. At one time during the 1970's the operation
employed approximately 1500 workers. Unfortunately, Tenneco's
restructuring clearly illustrates the interdependence of the
area's economy with those of the nation and the world.
However, the
Wausau
area economy will eventually absorb the loss and continue to
expand and grow. The area economy is essentially on sound
footing and will get through this period of adjustment.
Marathon
County industrial sector employment, as given in
Table 7, increased by 1200 positions or
a healthy 2.2 percent from last year. One‑half of the growth
can be attributed to the relatively low‑paying retail sector
which also employs many part time workers. The 600 person gain
in trade represents a 5.0 percent rate of growth. The
manufacturing sector gained 3.3 percent adding nearly 500
persons to its payrolls. This relatively high paying sector
will be hard pressed to register any net growth in the
quarters ahead due to the impending closure of J.I. Case
plant. Service sector employment expanded by 1.1 percent while
the government payrolls remained unchanged at 6.7 thousand.
The only industrial category to decline was construction,
where labor rosters contracted from 2.5 thousand to 2.4
thousand.
Unlike the
nation, where retail sales were flat during first quarter,
local merchants tell the CWERB that store traffic and sales
were much above last year's totals for March (Table
8). This group of retailers remains very upbeat about
retail activity in the area. The levels of optimism expressed
concerning future activity remain at near record levels This
may change in the future, given the impending layoffs at a
major manufacturer.
The
Wausau
help wanted advertising index rose sharply from 129 to 185 in
a March over comparison
(Table
9).
This means, in March 1993 there was a 27 percent increase in
the number of jobs advertised over March 1992. Another way to
interpret the index is to say that there are currently 1.85
jobs being advertised for each one in 1980. The national help
wanted advertising index showed signs of a rebound with a 10
percent gain.
Public assistance claim data improved over the
course of the year. Table 10 tells us
that new applications fell from 21 to 19 on a monthly average
basis, a decline of nearly 9.5 percent. Total caseload also
declined, falling from 91 to 80 on a monthly average basis.
The contraction was approximately 12.0 percent. It should be
noted that sociological as well as economic factors play an
important role in influencing these numbers.
Unemployment
claim data in Table 11 show that
initial unemployment claims on a weekly average basis rose
from 524 to 609. This increase of 75 in initial unemployment
claims represents a 16.2 percent surge. However, total
unemployment claims filed continue to reflect a year long
downward trend. The contraction amounted to 644 cases, or a
decrease of approximately 15.0 percent.
Residential construction declined from the
record totals established last year
(Table
12). This does not mean that activity has not been brisk, it has, but it is
always difficult to exceed a record period. This year's
figures, while very respectable, did not equal last year's
very high marks. Perhaps the inclement weather, higher lumber
prices, and satiated demand have had a dampening influence.
The number and estimated value of new residential permits
issued, the number of housing units, and the number and
estimated value of residential alteration permits issued were
14, 11, 19, 17, and 18 percent lower, respectively, than last
year.
Table 13 displays this
quarter's results for nonresidential construction in the area.
This volatile measure can and does fluctuate because of the
singular nature of capital investment on the part of
businesses and governments. Four permits for new
nonresidential construction, with an estimated value of $802
thousand, were issued. Further, 30 nonresidential alteration
permits valued at $1564 thousand were issued for the first
quarter of 1993. Traditionally first quarter is the least
active period of the year owing to weather conditions.
Financial statistics for the area are presented
in Table 14. Bank deposits rose from
$696.4 million to $712.5 million in the sample. This rise of
2.3 percent in deposits comes in spite of refinancing activity
on the part of households and in the face of a large shift
into mutual funds on a nation‑wide basis. This national trend
has been widely discussed in the financial press. Bank lending
rose by a very substantial amount, $29 million. This expansion
in lending represents a robust 5.4 percent growth rate. Even
this number is probably understated due to the sale of
mortgages in the secondary market. |