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Table 7 Table 8
Table 9 Table 10
Table 11 Table 12
Table 13 Table 14
The Stevens Point/Plover area economy continued to grow and expand over
the course of the year. The number of people employed is up and
the seasonally unadjusted unemployment rate is approximately the
same as last year's level. Further residential construction has
maintained the brisk pace established over the past several
years.
However, there are areas of concern for us locally because public assistance
claims have increased over the years despite the area's economic success.
Further, financial statistics are lagging and this is not what a truly robust
economy should be experiencing. Finally, the agricultural sector continues to
strain under the current milk price structure. Employment decline. in this
sector over the next decade is almost certain given the financial pressures
facing family farms. One third of
Wisconsin's dairy farms will go out of business over the course of the
next decade according to agricultural economists.
Table 7 presents employment growth for the major Portage
County industrial classifications. The results for this quarter are very
positive. Each and every category of employment was above last year's levels.
Manufacturing, services, trade, construction, and government posted gains of
600, 190, 300, 60, and 100 respectively. Overall, the number of nonfarm
employees rose by 1250 from 27,710 to 28,960, or a healthy 4.5 percent This is,
of course, very good news for the local population.
The retailer confidence
survey for the Stevens Point/Plover area indicates that local merchants perceive
that store traffic and sales were ahead of last year's pace for first quarter (Table
8). The results in each category are as high as ever recorded for this index
at this time of year. Remember, though, that this comparison is with first
quarter of 1991, a weaker than normal period of time. With regard to the future,
the panel of local merchants was reasonably optimistic about conditions three
months from now.
One of the few pieces of data not improved from last year is the help wanted
advertising index. Table 9 shows that advertising by
employers is down to a level not seen since March 1988. The reading of 124
represents a decline of approximately 30.1 percent from 1991. The national index
fell to 89, a drop of about 7.2 percent. Thus, this barometer of local labor
market conditions has declined three out of the last four quarters.
Public assistance and unemployment claim data in Table 10
and Table 11 give insight into local family financial
distress. New public assistance claims rose from 168 to 192 on a monthly average
basis. Similarly, the total caseload expanded from an average of 1410 to 1880
per month over the course of the past year. However, some recent government rule
changes have made more people eligible for certain income maintenance benefits,
and may be adding to the number of claims. As sometimes happens, the
unemployment claim data moved in the opposite direction. New unemployment claims
dropped from a weekly average of 68 to 64 and total claims fell slightly from
140 to 139 per week.
Residential construction continues to boom after several robust years
(Table 12). Every category is ahead of last year's already brisk pace. Residential
permits issued and the estimated value of new residential construction grew by
50 percent and 32 percent respectively. The number of housing units expanded by
a whopping 8.1 percent from last year. Residential alteration permits issued and
the estimated value of residential alterations climbed by 10 percent and 62
percent from 1991 levels. A healthy local economy and low interest rates have
had a significant and positive influence on the local construction scene.
Table 13 displays nonresidential construction activity in
the local area. The dollar value of local activity was generally lower than one
year ago, however, permit activity was higher. The percentage changes as usual
are not given due to the singular and volatile nature of this kind of business
capital investment.
Financial statistics for the area indicate that bank deposits grew by 1.6
percent or $5.2 million, and bank lending increased by 1.4 percent or $3.3
million dollars (Table
14). Neither
category kept pace with inflation, which means that real or inflation adjusted
deposits and lending fell over the course of the year. Both measures reported in
Table 14 give important insight into the local situation because they act as a
proxy for local income and economic conditions. |