|
Table 7 Table 8
Table 9 Table 10
Table 11 Table 12
Table 13 Table 14
The local economy
continues to expand as it has for most of the decade. Even
though the unemployment rate went up, the number of people
employed increased by approximately 1000 indicating that many
formerly discouraged workers have re-entered the labor market.
It appears that the labor force has responded to the overall
improvement in local economic conditions.
The
Stevens Point
area economy has many pluses going for it as 1989 unfolds.
Expansions at Consolidated Paper, First Financial, and Woodward
Governor and renewed vitality at Sentry Insurance and Worzella
Publishing should stimulate the local economy. An area of great
concern, however, is the local agricultural situation. If
weather conditions are more favorable for the 1989 growing
season, local agri-business should be able to rebound from the
drought related difficulties of last year. The importance of the
agricultural sector to the local community is greater than its
numbers would suggest due to the capital intensiveness of the
industry and because of intersectoral dependencies.
Portage
County
employment by major industrial sector is presented in Table 7. Service
employment grew by 1150 positions from a year ago. Manufacturing and
construction also posted substantial increases. Figures for first quarter
government employment are suspect due to difficulties encountered by the state
in compiling the data. An expected upward revision would put these figures more
into line with past first quarter results. Other sectors, for which more
reliable estimates are available, show record employment levels for this time of
year.
Retailer confidence
for Stevens Point
is given in Table 8. The survey indicates that store traffic and sales were
slightly higher than last year. Furthermore, retailers believe that matters will
be on an upswing in the near future. The results are consistent with other data
suggesting that the economy did expand during the last period and will more than
likely continue to do so.
Another aspect of the local economy is the condition of the labor market. The
CWERB's help wanted advertising index, displayed in Table 9, measures labor
demand in the
Stevens Point area. As of March
1989 there was a 146 percent increase in the number of jobs being advertised
compared to 1980. There has been an increase of 8 percent from just a year ago.
An expanding index is a good indicator that payrolls will increase in the
future. Finally, the labor index has reached a new all-time high for March. This
is indicative of a growing economy.
Table 10 presents data on public
assistance claims. New applications were up by 26 percent or 31 cases. However,
total claims were lower by 12 percent. Unemployment claims data, as shown in
Table 11, presents a different picture. The number of new claims filed has
contracted by 21 percent while total claims were up by 4.1 percent. Thus, mixed
signals are coming from the two measures of local family financial distress.
Residential construction is a leading
economic indicator. Table 12 shows that the local residential construction scene
has, in fact, contracted from the levels of a year ago. Higher interest rates
and modest population growth may be combining to constrain this type of
activity. Furthermore, pent up new housing demand may have been satisfied during
the "housing boom" of the last few years. Regardless of the cause, this downward
movement in residential construction activity merits further attention.
Nonresidential construction
statistics are given in Table 13. The number of permits issued for first quarter
1989 was 5. The estimated value of these new structures was $1,877 ,000. In
addition 38 nonresidential alteration permits for alterations estimated at
$276,300 were requested. These figures all fall well within historic norms for
the area for the first quarter time period.
Financial statistics can provide
important insights into the health and vitality of the local economy. Table 14
lists bank deposit and loan figures for 1st quarter 1989. Bank deposits, a
measure of local liquidity, jumped by approximately 5 percent from 1988. Lending
activity was higher by an incredible 20.1 percent. As a matter of record, the
$207 million represents an all-time high level of lending for the sample,
regardless of time of year. This would indicate that spending in the local area
increased substantially from a year ago.
|