Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
WI.gif (1017 bytes)
Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Randy F. Cray, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Marshfield Area
1st Quarter 1989

 

Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table 14 Table 15 Table 16

     The Marshfield area economy continued on an upward path. There is much evidence to support this assertion. Employment in Marshfield is estimated to be 5 percent higher than a year ago. Employment in Wood County grew by a surprising 2,600. Another aspect to consider is the unemployment rate, which is considerably below last year's mark. Recent developments at the national level suggest that the U.S. economy is slowing down. Some local variables such as residential construction and help wanted advertising give an indication that local matters may be slowing. Only time will tell if this will actually be the case. Furthermore, since the national economy can greatly influence local matters, it would be imprudent to ignore the developing situation, even if it does turn out to be a false alarm. Lastly, a substantial boost to the local economy would occur if spring and summer rains return to their normal patterns. This would help the agribusiness sector rebound from the drought related difficulties of 1988.

     Table 7 presents major industrial sector employment for Wood County. The greatest expansion occurred in service sector employment with over 1000 new jobs being created. Manufacturing employment expanded by 400 positions even with the plant closings in Wisconsin Rapids. Trade contributed to the general improvement by posting a gain of 3.6 percent. Construction and government employment were unchanged from a year ago. Overall, nonfarm employment shot upwards by nearly 5.0 percent, a very impressive performance. The Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau estimates that payrolls have expanded by approximately 5.0 percent in the Marshfield area.

     Retail conditions give valuable insight into the overall well-being of an economy. The CWERB conducts a survey of local merchants to gather such information. Table 8 shows that, when asked about the current situation, this group felt that store traffic and sales were noticeably improved from last year. As for the future, this group believes that matters will be accelerating in the months ahead. Readings of 70 were recorded for both expected store traffic and expected sales three months from now.

     Help wanted advertising for Marshfield is given in Table 9. The data indicate a slowdown in the growth of job advertising. Almost no change was recorded from a year ago. A parallel situation exists at the national level, i.e. no change. This result often signals a cooling down of the economy. The implication is that payroll growth may be harder to achieve.

     Family financial distress is measured in Tables 10 and 11. The news is very upbeat for the local community. Public assistance claims both new and total are lower than a year ago. New applications dropped from a monthly average of 38 to 33. Furthermore, the average monthly total caseload contracted from 701 to 623. A similar situation characterizes unemployment claims. Initial claims were down by nearly 19 percent and total claims were lower by 15 percent. This is strong evidence that the Marshfied area economy has performed very well during the past 12 months.

     Residential construction is a leading economic indicator. Table 12 shows that higher interest rates and lower consumer demand have taken a toll on construction

     The same sluggishness can be observed at the national level. Residential construction around the Marshfield area was lower in almost all categories. Only the estimated value of new structures was higher by a scant 0.2 percent. Residential permits issued, the number of housing units, alteration permits issued and the value of alterations were down from a year ago. Moreover, the totals were low when contrasted with historic norms.

     Nonresidential data are highly volatile due to the unique and singular nature of the activity. Table 13 presents this quarter's results. The number of permits issued fell from 3 to 1, but the the number of business alteration permits jumped from 11 to 18 and the estimated value of the alterations nearly doubled last year's total.

     Financial statistics in Table 14 indicate that local deposits climbed by nearly $8 million or a respectable 4.1 percent from 1988. Moreover, lending activity was higher by $11 million or 8.3 percent. This would indicate that spending in the Marshfield area increased substantially. Thus these data strongly suggest that the local economy continued its advancement.

     Tables 15 and 16 present economic data on Clark County. This information is provided because of the close economic ties between Clark County and the Marshfield area.

 
TABLE 7:
WOOD COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
March 1988
Employment
March 1989
Percent Change
Manufacturing
9,600
10,000
+4.2
Services
12,010
13,040
+8.6
Trade

8,300

8,600

+3.6

Construction
860
860
0.0
Government
4,400
4,400
0.0
Marshfield Employment Index
124.4
130.5
+4.9
 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN MARSHFIELD*
                                                         
Index Value
December 1988
March 1989
Total Sales Compared
to Previous Year
58
63
Store Traffic Compared
to Previous Year
68
67
Expected Sales Three
Months From Now
70
70
Expected Store Traffic
Three Months From Now
71
70
100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN MARSHFIELD
                              
Index Value
Marshfield
(March)
U.S.
(February)
1989
163

156

1988
162

156

 

TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY

 

1988
First Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)

 1989
First Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)

Percent
Change

New Applications

38

33

-13.2

Total Caseload

701

623

-11.1

* As of First Quarter 1986 Public Assistance Claims are being
compiled on a county-wide basis.
 
TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY
 
1988
First Quarter
1989
First Quarter
Percent
Change
New Claims
961

783

-18.5

Total Claims

1961

1664

-15.1

 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
 
1988
First Quarter
1989
First Quarter
Percent Change
Residential Permits Issued
6
3
-50.0
Estimated Value of
New Homes
$420.0
(thousands)
$421.0
(thousands)
+0.2
Number of Housing Units

6

3

-50.0
Residential Alteration
Permits Issued
20
17
-15.0
Estimated Value
of Alterations
$122.3
(thousands)
$43.1
(thousands)
-64.8
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
 
1988
First Quarter
1989
First Quarter
Number of Permits Issued

3

1

Estimated Value of
New Structures
$13.2
(thousands)
$130.0
(thousands)
Number of Business Alteration Permits
11
18
Estimated Value
of Business Alterations
$445.2
(thousands)
$733.9
(thousands)
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR MARSHFIELD*
 
1988
First Quarter
(Millions)
1989
First Quarter
(Millions)
Percent Change
Bank Deposits
$191.9
$199.7
+4.1
Bank Loans
$130.3
$141.1

+8.3

*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 15:
CLARK COUNTY EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR
 
March 1988
March 1989
Percent Change
Manufacturing
1,970

1,980

+0.5

Services
1,680

1,550

-7.7
Trade
1,810

1,970

+8.8
Construction
160

160

0.0

Government 
1,880

1,970

+4.8
 
TABLE 16:
CLARK COUNTY EMPLOYMENT STATISTICS
 
March 1988
March 1989
Percent Change
Unemployment Rate
10.0%

10.4%

+4.0

Total Employed
12,900

13,100

+1.6
Total Unemployed
1,440

1,530

+6.3
Labor Force
14,400

14,700

+2.1
 
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University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Division of Business and Economics
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