Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
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Division of Business and Economics
University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Stevens Point, WI 54481
(715) 346-3774  (715) 346-2537
 
 
Paul D. Warner, Ph.D.
 
Director, Central Wisconsin Economic Research Bureau
 

Marshfield Area
1st Quarter 1986

 

Table 7 Table 8 Table 9 Table 10 Table 11 Table 12 Table 13 Table 14

     This section of the report focuses on the Marshfield area economy. Evidence of the local economy's performance is contained in Tables 7-14. These tables are based on information reflecting the local labor, retail, construction, and financial markets. A number of positive indicators emerge from the Marshfield area data. However, the local labor market appears to be relatively weak.

     Table 7 breaks Wood County wage and salary employment into major sectors and compares the estimates with the year earlier. Modest payroll gains appear in the service and government sectors, while manufacturing employment was unchanged. These small gains were offset by drops in trade and construction jobs. The decline in construction was large on a percentage basis but modest in terms of jobs.

     The Marshfield employment index slipped 2.6% compared to a year ago. This decline suggests a weak first quarter local labor market. The index uses the 1980 Census of the Population to estimate local employment trends. Assuming that the structure of the local eC9nomy remains relatively stable, the Census figures can be combined with monthly Wood County labor statistics to estimate local employment conditions. For example, the importance of the lumber and wood products industry is accounted for in this manner.

     A survey of twenty-five Marshfield area retailers reveals a relatively strong retail sector (Table 8). When asked to compare total sales in March with six months earlier (adjusting for seasonal factors) retailers reported strong gains. The outlook for six months hence is even more upbeat with the index rising to 72. Although these readings suggest a high level of local retailer confidence, interpretations of the survey will become more meaningful when index values can be compared with earlier readings.

     More evidence of a relatively weak local labor market can be found in Table 9. The volume of help wanted advertising in the Marshfield News-Herald dipped substantially below the level of a year ago. The falling index suggests that local labor demand is less than it was in March of 1985.

     Public assistance claims for the Marshfield area show a modest decline (Table 10). The number of claims dropped 3.3% compared to the first quarter of 1985. This indicator is a measure of local family financial stress. It is a lagging indicator and therefore is reflecting the modest growth of last year.     

     The unemployment claim data also indicates modest improvement over a year ago (Table 11). This information is collected from the district Job Service office in Wisconsin Rapids and thus reflects a five county area. Nevertheless, the figures are useful for interpreting trends in the local economy. The significant drop in total claims is further evidence of modest growth last year. The much smaller decline in initial claims indicates that the labor market was not as strong as earlier quarters.

      Lower mortgage rates gave a slight boost to local residential construction during the first quarter (Table 12). New construction had literally ceased during the first three months of 1985. Housing trends are difficult to decipher during the weather dominated fourth and first quarters. A better picture of the local housing market will be revealed in the next six months. Sharply lower long term interest rates should lead to increased activity in this sector.

     The winter months are also traditionally slow for nonresidential construction (Table 13). Two small projects and a number of alteration permits added nearly $100,000 to the estimated value of the local capital stock. This figure is down sharply from last year which was strongly influenced by large alteration permits filed by St. Joseph's Hospital and The Marshfield Clinic.

     Healthy gains in deposits and loans at Marshfield's three commercial banks suggest that local economic growth will pick up (Table 14). Bank deposits, a measure of liquidity, stand 7.9% above the year earlier level. Bank loans, reflecting consumer and business spending, registered a near equal 7.3% gain in the past year.

 
TABLE 7:
WOOD COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CHANGE BY SECTOR
 
Employment
March 1986
Employment
March 1985
Percent Change
Manufacturing
9,500
9,500
0.0
Services
10,370
10,150
+2.2
Trade

7,000

7,200

-2.8

Construction
580
710
-18.3
Government
4,100
4,000
+2.5
Marshfield Employment Index
104.6
107.4
-2.6
 
TABLE 8:
RETAILER CONFIDENCE IN MARSHFIELD*
                                                         
Index Value
March 1986
Total Sales Compared
to Previous Year
68
Store Traffic Compared
to Previous Year
74
Expected Sales Three
Months From Now
72
Expected Store Traffic
Three Months From Now
77
100 = Substantially Better
50 = Same
0 = Substantially Worse
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 9:
HELP WANTED ADVERTISING IN MARSHFIELD
                              
Index Value
Marshfield
(March)
U.S.
(February)
1986
1980=100
53.2

142

1985
1967=100
85.8

140

 

TABLE 10:
PUBLIC ASSISTANCE CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY

 

1986
First Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)

 1985
First Quarter
(Monthly Avg.)

Percent
Change

Total Caseload

818

845

-3.3

* As of First Quarter 1986 Public Assistance Claims are being
compiled on a county-wide basis.
 
TABLE 11:
UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS IN WOOD COUNTY
 
1986
First Quarter
1985
First Quarter
Percent
Change
New Claims
3,076

3,196

-3.75

Total Claims

5,930

6,646

-10.77

 
TABLE 12:
RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
 
1986
First Quarter
1985
First Quarter
Residential Permits Issued
4
-
Estimated Value of
New Homes
$282.0
(thousands)
-
(thousands)
Number of Housing Units

6

-

Residential Alteration
Permits Issued
41
44
Estimated Value
of Alterations
$157.5
(thousands)
$192.1
(thousands)
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 13:
NONRESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN MARSHFIELD AREA*
 
1986
First Quarter
1985
First Quarter
Number of Permits Issued

2

1

Estimated Value of
New Structures
$55.5
(thousands)
$90.0
(thousands)
Number of Business Alteration Permits
21
17
Estimated Value
of Business Alterations
$42.6
(thousands)
$3,181.5
(thousands)
*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
TABLE 14:
FINANCIAL STATISTICS FOR MARSHFIELD*
 
1986
First Quarter
(Millions)
1985
First Quarter
(Millions)
Percent Change
Bank Deposits
$190.2
$176.2
+7.95
Bank Loans
$117.8
$109.8

+7.29

*Data collected by UW Marshfield-Wood County
 
 
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