This section of the report focuses on the
Marshfield
area economy. Evidence of the local economy's performance is contained
in Tables 7-14. These tables are based on information reflecting the
local labor, retail, construction, and financial markets. A number of
positive indicators emerge from the
Marshfield
area data. However, the local labor market appears to be relatively
weak.
Table 7 breaks Wood
County
wage and salary employment into major sectors and compares the estimates
with the year earlier. Modest payroll gains appear in the service and
government sectors, while manufacturing employment was unchanged. These
small gains were offset by drops in trade and construction jobs. The
decline in construction was large on a percentage basis but modest in
terms of jobs.
The Marshfield employment index slipped 2.6%
compared to a year ago. This decline suggests a weak first quarter local
labor market. The index uses the 1980 Census of the Population to
estimate local employment trends. Assuming that the structure of the
local eC9nomy remains relatively stable, the Census figures can be
combined with monthly Wood
County
labor statistics to estimate local employment conditions. For example,
the importance of the lumber and wood products industry is accounted for
in this manner.
A survey of twenty-five Marshfield area retailers
reveals a relatively strong retail sector (Table 8).
When asked to compare total sales in March with six months earlier
(adjusting for seasonal factors) retailers reported strong gains. The
outlook for six months hence is even more upbeat with the index rising
to 72. Although these readings suggest a high level of local retailer
confidence, interpretations of the survey will become more meaningful
when index values can be compared with earlier readings.
More evidence of a relatively weak local labor market can be found in
Table 9. The volume of help wanted advertising in
the Marshfield News-Herald dipped substantially below the level of a
year ago. The falling index suggests that local labor demand is less
than it was in March of 1985.
Public assistance claims for the
Marshfield
area show a modest decline (Table 10). The number
of claims dropped 3.3% compared to the first quarter of 1985. This
indicator is a measure of local family financial stress. It is a lagging
indicator and therefore is reflecting the modest growth of last year.
The unemployment claim data also indicates modest improvement over a
year ago (Table 11). This information is
collected from the district Job Service office in Wisconsin Rapids and thus
reflects a five county area. Nevertheless, the figures are useful for
interpreting trends in the local economy. The significant drop in total
claims is further evidence of modest growth last year. The much smaller
decline in initial claims indicates that the labor market was not as
strong as earlier quarters.
Lower mortgage rates gave a slight boost to local residential
construction during the first quarter (Table 12).
New construction had literally ceased during the first three months of
1985. Housing trends are difficult to decipher during the weather
dominated fourth and first quarters. A better picture of the local
housing market will be revealed in the next six months. Sharply lower
long term interest rates should lead to increased activity in this
sector.